Djurgarden 0-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 34% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.04
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
10%
5.71
X/2
14%
5.56
X/X
17%
4.27
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.87
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.16/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.31
-34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.1 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 511
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-0 HT 3-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
01.05.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
25.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
20.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
17.07.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
12.03.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
0-1
AWAY Malmö FF
1.97 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
431 Passes 351
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
40 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF squeezed past Djurgarden 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Malmö FF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Djurgarden had 55% of the ball to Malmö FF's 45%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.97 to 0.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Djurgarden.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Djurgarden and 1.33 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Malmö FF?

Djurgarden 0-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 33%, draw 29%, Malmö FF 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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