Bologna vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bologna v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bologna 2-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna squeezed past Genoa 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Bologna had 59% of the ball to Genoa's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.59 to 0.55.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bologna and 1.67 for Genoa.
Bologna vs Genoa Result & Final Score
Bologna 2 - 1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bologna vs Genoa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bologna 47%, draw 33%, Genoa 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.