Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.0pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 69%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.66/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.79
-36% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 530 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
17.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
12.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
08.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
06.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.06.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
3-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool swept aside Paide Linnameeskond 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paide Linnameeskond at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 30% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 70%, shots finished 12-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.00 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 21%, draw 21%, Paide Linnameeskond 59%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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