FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.25
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
76%
-2.0pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.4pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
2.65/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.58
+13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
425 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-0D-1L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
63% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
30.05.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
08.04.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.07.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
19.06.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn edged past JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 69% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 31%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.17 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 74%, draw 14%, JK Tammeka Tartu 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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