Haverfordwest County 1-3 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

Haverfordwest County
1-3 HT 1-1
Connahs Quay
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2025/2026

Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 32% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.93
-22% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
11.08.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
19.11.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-2 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
23.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
31.01.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
01.10.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay saw off Haverfordwest County 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.00 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay?

Haverfordwest County 1-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 33%, draw 25%, Connahs Quay 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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