Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
Penybont nicked a narrow win over Caernarfon Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Caernarfon Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caernarfon Town and 2.83 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town 1-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 41%, draw 26%, Penybont 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town) went the other way.