Penybont vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
3-2
HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Penybont 3-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Penybont beat Caernarfon Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Penybont had 56% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 44%, shots finished 13-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Penybont and 1.83 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont 3-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Penybont 54%, draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.