Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
3-2
HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
5-1
HT 3-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Caernarfon Town edged past Penybont 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Caernarfon Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caernarfon Town and 3.33 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town 3-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 36%, draw 29%, Penybont 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.