Barry Town 0-2 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.29/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.92
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
0 Corners 6
09.11.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
07.09.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
02.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 7-0 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
09.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
12.03.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay saw off Barry Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barry Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barry Town and 2.83 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Connahs Quay?

Barry Town 0-2 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 41%, draw 26%, Connahs Quay 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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