Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Excelsior Maassluis v Jong Sparta — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Excelsior Maassluis 1-3 Jong Sparta — Actual Match Statistics
Jong Sparta put daylight between themselves and Excelsior Maassluis 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Excelsior Maassluis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) landed.
On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 47% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 53%, shots finished 20-9.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.00 for Jong Sparta.
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta Result & Final Score
Excelsior Maassluis 1 - 3 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 43%, draw 25%, Jong Sparta 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) went the other way.