Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒07:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.21/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.12
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 23.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
190 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
16.07.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 4-1 HT 2-1 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
17.05.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-1
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
209 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC edged past Jubilo Iwata 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jubilo Iwata at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 37% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 63%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 2.00 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Jubilo Iwata?

Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 35%, draw 24%, Jubilo Iwata 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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