Omiya Ardija 2-3 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.16/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.51
-2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +124%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.7 Crosses 18.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Imabari
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 251
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Imabari Imabari 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
19.10.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-1 HT 0-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
27.04.2024 Imabari Imabari 1-4 HT 0-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
2-3
AWAY Imabari
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
183 Passes 225
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari nicked a narrow win over Omiya Ardija 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Imabari as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 46% of the ball to Imabari's 54%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Omiya Ardija and 0.67 for Imabari.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Imabari?

Omiya Ardija 2-3 Imabari in the Japan - J2 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 35%, draw 25%, Imabari 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imabari), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Imabari) ✓ BTTS Yes
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