Oita Trinita 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
7.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.2pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
0.99/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
-18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 18.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
255 Passes 283
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.03.2025 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-3 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JLK
16.03.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
03.08.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
26.05.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
06.08.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 2-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
12.04.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-1 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
1-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
140 Passes 340
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita edged past Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Oita Trinita found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 33% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 67%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Oita Trinita 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 39%, draw 30%, Renofa Yamaguchi 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oita Trinita), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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