Gainare Tottori 3-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.25/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.48
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.9 Crosses 28.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
309 Passes 441
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 HT 2-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
3-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
416 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori got the better of ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Gainare Tottori made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 57% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 43%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Gainare Tottori 3-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 39%, draw 24%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainare Tottori), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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