Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.49/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.35
+23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 22.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Nara Club
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
295 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Nara Club Nara Club 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
27.07.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-3 HT 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
23.06.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
03.09.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
24.06.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-2 HT 0-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1-0
AWAY Nara Club
33% Ball Possession 67%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
245 Passes 546
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu nicked a narrow win over Nara Club 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nara Club at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 33% of the ball to Nara Club's 67%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Azul Claro Numazu had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 0.80 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club?

Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 34%, draw 21%, Nara Club 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club)
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