Kagoshima United 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Sep 2025

Kagoshima United
2-0 HT 0-0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Kagoshima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
51%
+6.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
2.04/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.31
+36% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
231 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.4 Crosses 21.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Kagoshima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
277 Passes 216
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
05.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
16.04.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 3-3 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
16.10.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-2 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
03.04.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
17.10.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 HT 2-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3

Kagoshima United 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
2-0
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
318 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United saw off Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 46% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 54%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kagoshima United and 2.17 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Kagoshima United 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 58%, draw 21%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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