HFX Wanderers 3-0 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+0.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
25.8 Crosses 13.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
383 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-2 HT 2-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
13.07.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 3-2 HT 2-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
19.04.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
19.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
08.09.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 3-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
08.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
3-0
AWAY Pacific FC
1.51 xG 0.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
380 Passes 376
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Pacific FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HFX Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 50% of the ball to Pacific FC's 50%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.83 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC?

HFX Wanderers 3-0 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 64%, draw 19%, Pacific FC 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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