Riga FC II 1-0 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.25/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.84
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Marupe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.05.2025 Marupe Marupe 2-0 HT 1-0 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
10.11.2024 Riga FC II Riga FC II 2-1 Marupe Marupe LET1
27.07.2024 Marupe Marupe 0-0 HT 0-0 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II squeezed past Marupe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Marupe at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Riga FC II and 1.00 for Marupe.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Marupe?

Riga FC II 1-0 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 32%, draw 24%, Marupe 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marupe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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