Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smiltene v JFK Ventspils — Team-Based Signals
Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
JFK Ventspils
LET1
0-1
HT 0-1
Smiltene
LET1
Smiltene and JFK Ventspils shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. JFK Ventspils carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, JFK Ventspils led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Smiltene and 1.40 for JFK Ventspils.
What was the final score of Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils?
Smiltene 2-2 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils?
Before kick-off our model rated an JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 20%, draw 19%, JFK Ventspils 61%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JFK Ventspils) went the other way.