Jerv 2-2 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

Jerv
2-2 HT 1-0
Notodden
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Jerv vs Notodden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+1.4pp
16%
Draw
18%
-3.0pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jerv v Notodden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +29%
1.76/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.76
-36% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Jerv vs Notodden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Notodden
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2025 Notodden Notodden 2-3 HT 1-1 Jerv Jerv NOR3
19.10.2024 Jerv Jerv 0-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
29.06.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR3
29.09.2019 Notodden Notodden 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
22.04.2019 Jerv Jerv 3-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
26.08.2018 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv and Notodden couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Jerv at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jerv had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jerv and 0.67 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Notodden?

Jerv 2-2 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Jerv 69%, draw 16%, Notodden 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jerv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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