Otelul Galati 1-0 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.98
-18% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
18.3 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.66 xG 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
05.10.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
04.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROK
26.11.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-3 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
24.07.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
04.04.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
1-0
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.71 xG 0.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
221 Passes 373
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati edged past Universitatea Craiova 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Otelul Galati made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 41% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 59%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.71 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Otelul Galati and 1.17 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs Universitatea Craiova?

Otelul Galati 1-0 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 35%, draw 28%, Universitatea Craiova 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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