Miami FC 0-1 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.05/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.9 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rhode Island
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.83 xG 2.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
304 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-1 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
27.10.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 8-1 HT 5-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
14.07.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-1
AWAY Rhode Island
0.27 xG 1.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 228
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island edged past Miami FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miami FC had 61% of the ball to Rhode Island's 39%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.27 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rhode Island led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miami FC and 3.67 for Rhode Island.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Miami FC 0-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 32%, draw 25%, Rhode Island 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ BTTS Yes
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