Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.48
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.80 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2026 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey CON
11.03.2026 Monterrey Monterrey 2-3 HT 2-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
01.03.2026 Monterrey Monterrey 0-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
26.10.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
09.03.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
14.07.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 0-4 HT 0-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
PREVIEW Monterrey vs Cruz Azul
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Neither Monterrey nor Cruz Azul earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Monterrey's last 5 home league games; meanwhile, the away form book backs Cruz Azul: 4 wins in their last 5 league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Monterrey against 2.17 for Cruz Azul.

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Kick-off Time

Monterrey play Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 20/09/2026, kick-off 04:10 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul is an Cruz Azul win at about 39% probability, priced 2.39 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Monterrey 35%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul 39%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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