Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 0-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul saw off Monterrey 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Cruz Azul made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Monterrey had 58% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 42%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.17 to 1.95.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monterrey and 1.83 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Monterrey 0-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 39%, draw 25%, Cruz Azul 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monterrey), BTTS Yes went the other way.