Cruz Azul vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 2-0 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul beat Monterrey 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 56% of the ball to Monterrey's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.39 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.83 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Cruz Azul 2-0 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 52%, draw 25%, Monterrey 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.