Guadalajara vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Atlas
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
Guadalajara 4-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara ran out comfortable winners over Atlas 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Atlas's 48%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.55 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Atlas.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Atlas?
Guadalajara 4-1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 58%, draw 22%, Atlas 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara) — while BTTS No went the other way.