Guadalajara vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 4-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara dismantled Atlas 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Atlas's 48%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.55 to 0.73.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Atlas.
Guadalajara vs Atlas Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 4 - 1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Atlas Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 66%, draw 20%, Atlas 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.