Leon 1-1 Pumas UNAM — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.3
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.28
6+
6%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leon The Market 33%
Signal
AWAY Pumas UNAM The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
1.41 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2025 Leon Leon 1-2 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
07.07.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-1 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
15.04.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
01.11.2023 Leon Leon 1-1 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
22.01.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-1 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
10.07.2022 Leon Leon 3-3 HT 0-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
1 - 1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.55 xG 2.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
432 Passes 393
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Leon vs Pumas UNAM
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Leon and Pumas UNAM with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, Leon had 52% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 48%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.55 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leon and 2.50 for Pumas UNAM.

Leon vs Pumas UNAM Result & Final Score

Leon 1 - 1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leon vs Pumas UNAM Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leon 30%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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