Tigres UANL 2-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.74/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.64
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.7 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tijuana
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.01.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
28.04.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.11.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
21.01.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
2-0
AWAY Tijuana
1.49 xG 1.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
399 Passes 212
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL got the better of Tijuana 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 61% of the ball to Tijuana's 39%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.49 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.67 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Tijuana?

Tigres UANL 2-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 60%, draw 22%, Tijuana 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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