Tigres UANL 4-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
7.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.65/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.82
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.9 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tijuana
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
401 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
28.04.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.11.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
21.01.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
04.04.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
4-0
AWAY Tijuana
3.53 xG 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
273 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL ran out comfortable winners over Tijuana 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 45% of the ball to Tijuana's 55%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 3.53 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.67 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Tijuana?

Tigres UANL 4-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 58%, draw 21%, Tijuana 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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