Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul got the better of Necaxa 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (30% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Necaxa had 46% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 54%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.80 to 1.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Necaxa and 1.50 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Cruz Azul?
Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 30%, draw 29%, Cruz Azul 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.