Club America 3-0 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 29% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.80/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.60
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.1 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
451 Passes 426
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
30.03.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
10.12.2023 Club America Club America 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
07.12.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-5 HT 0-2 Club America Club America MEK
02.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
14.05.2023 Club America Club America 1-2 HT 0-2 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
3-0
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.54 xG 0.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
447 Passes 344
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 6
10 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club America vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America cruised past Atletico San Luis 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club America had 55% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 45%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.54 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club America and 1.17 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

Club America 3-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Club America 55%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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