Alcoyano 1-1 Antequera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.26
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
20%
5.44
6+
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Antequera The Market 29%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.49/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.08
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Antequera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Antequera Antequera 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
14.01.2024 Alcoyano Alcoyano 2-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
1-1
AWAY Antequera
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Antequera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano and Antequera couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alcoyano at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Alcoyano had 51% of the ball to Antequera's 49%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcoyano had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcoyano and 0.50 for Antequera.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Antequera?

Alcoyano 1-1 Antequera in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Antequera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 46%, draw 28%, Antequera 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcoyano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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