Unterhaching 2-2 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.96
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
18%
5.96
X/2
9%
5.28
X/X
14%
4.88
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.34
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -30%
1.39/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.68
+4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.6 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
2W-0D-4L
AWAY 1860 München
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
25.11.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
26.02.2021 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
26.10.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
27.06.2020 1860 München 1860 München 3-0 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
01.12.2019 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-3 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
2-2
AWAY 1860 München
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
250 Passes 259
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching and 1860 München shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Unterhaching at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 50% of the ball to 1860 München's 50%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Unterhaching and 1.83 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs 1860 München?

Unterhaching 2-2 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unterhaching win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 41%, draw 25%, 1860 München 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Unterhaching) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Unterhaching) ✓ BTTS Yes
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