NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Varazdin v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
1-0
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
1-1
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
5-2
HT 2-1
NK Varazdin
HIR
NK Varazdin 2-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin squeezed past HNK Gorica 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had NK Varazdin as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, NK Varazdin had 48% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 52%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 0.83 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.83 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
NK Varazdin 2-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 50%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.