Slaven Belupo 0-2 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.91/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.84
-34% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.6 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.51 xG 1.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
232 Passes 379
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 2-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
20.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
11.02.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 4-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
27.10.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
13.08.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
19.05.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
0-2
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.76 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
304 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split got the better of Slaven Belupo 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 48% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 52%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Slaven Belupo and 2.00 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split?

Slaven Belupo 0-2 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 25%, draw 27%, Hajduk Split 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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