CD Olimpia 4-3 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +24%
2.45/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.91
+14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
13.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
30.04.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 6-0 HT 3-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia edged past CD Victoria 4-3. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.67 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

CD Olimpia 4-3 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 65%, draw 22%, CD Victoria 13%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
20 Oct 2024
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