Elverum 1-2 Hönefoss BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
3.68
Over Pick
69%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
31%
4-5
32%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-11.9pp
31%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.5pp
69%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elverum The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Hönefoss BK The Market 71%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.59/0.95
-33% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 512 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elverum
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Hönefoss BK
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
8 Corners 5
20.05.2024 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Elverum Elverum NOR4
02.09.2023 Elverum Elverum 1-3 HT 1-2 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR4
13.05.2023 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Elverum Elverum NOR4
03.09.2022 Elverum Elverum 3-2 HT 3-1 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR4
POST-MATCH Elverum vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK edged past Elverum 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Elverum and 2.25 for Hönefoss BK.

What was the final score of Elverum vs Hönefoss BK?

Elverum 1-2 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elverum vs Hönefoss BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Elverum 26%, draw 20%, Hönefoss BK 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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