Pors Grenland 0-2 Fram Larvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.63
Over
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
52%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Larvik The Market 25%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.16/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.39
-12% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
380 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pors Grenland
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fram Larvik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.05.2024 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik 1-2 HT 1-2 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
10.09.2022 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 2-2 HT 2-1 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik NOR4
18.06.2022 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik 3-2 HT 0-1 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Fram Larvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Larvik beat Pors Grenland 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pors Grenland at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pors Grenland and 2.00 for Fram Larvik.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Fram Larvik?

Pors Grenland 0-2 Fram Larvik in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Fram Larvik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pors Grenland win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 42%, draw 28%, Fram Larvik 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pors Grenland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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