Trygg/Lade 6-1 Orkla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
22%
4.0
Over Pick
78%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
10%
2-3
35%
4-5
35%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 78%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.6pp
15%
Draw
11%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.8pp
22%
Under 2.5
22%
+0.5pp
78%
Over 2.5
78%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Orkla The Market 12%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +22%
2.80/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/3.34
-17% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Orkla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
24.07.2024 Orkla Orkla 1-2 HT 1-2 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
23.10.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-2 HT 0-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Orkla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade swept aside Orkla 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trygg/Lade as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (78%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trygg/Lade and 1.50 for Orkla.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Orkla?

Trygg/Lade 6-1 Orkla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Orkla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 66%, draw 15%, Orkla 19%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trygg/Lade), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Asane II vs Stord Sunnhordland Analysis →
00:00 Mjolner vs Skjervoy Analysis →
00:00 Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Skedsmo Analysis →
00:00 Lokomotiv Oslo vs Lorenskog Analysis →
00:00 IF Ready vs Gjellerasen Analysis →
00:00 Melhus vs Verdal Analysis →