Ullern 3-1 Flint — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

Ullern
3-1 HT 1-0
Flint
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
28%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
3.59
Over Pick
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.29
No
39%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1
18%
9.0
2-3
39%
2.43
4-5
28%
2.35
6+
15%
3.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
38%
+12.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
39%
-10.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
73%
-12.7pp
39%
BTTS No
27%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullern The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint The Market 43%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.46/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.53
-28% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullern
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Flint
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.04.2024 Flint Flint 2-3 HT 0-3 Ullern Ullern NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullern
3-1
AWAY Flint
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 20
11 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ullern vs Flint
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullern beat Flint 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ullern as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Ullern had 59% of the ball to Flint's 41%, shots finished 13-20.

What was the final score of Ullern vs Flint?

Ullern 3-1 Flint in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullern vs Flint?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ullern 50%, draw 21%, Flint 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ullern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ullern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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