Ceara 0-2 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.25
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.65
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
17%
5.01
X/2
14%
5.99
X/X
15%
3.63
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
4.8
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.36
-14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.6 Crosses 16.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Botafogo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.44 xG 1.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 3-2 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
06.08.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
18.04.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
26.02.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
31.10.2020 Botafogo Botafogo 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
08.12.2019 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-2
AWAY Botafogo
0.88 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
337 Passes 324
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo got the better of Ceara 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Ceara had 52% of the ball to Botafogo's 48%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 0.88 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.83 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Botafogo?

Ceara 0-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ceara 38%, draw 31%, Botafogo 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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