Bahia vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BRK
1-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BRK
Bahia 4-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia swept aside Gremio 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Bahia had 59% of the ball to Gremio's 41%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 3.01 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bahia and 0.67 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Gremio?
Bahia 4-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bahia 51%, draw 26%, Gremio 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.