Mirassol FC 3-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Oct 2025

Mirassol FC
3-0 HT 2-0
Sao Paulo
📅20/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Mirassol FC vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.79
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
12%
5.83
X/X
12%
3.8
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
11%
4.41
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirassol FC v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 36%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +18%
1.90/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.10
+128% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.1 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Mirassol FC vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.51 xG 1.76
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
255 Passes 462
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2025 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-2 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
13.03.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU
17.05.2021 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
09.05.2021 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU
30.07.2020 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-3 HT 2-2 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
20.01.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU

Mirassol FC 3-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
3-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
3.52 xG 0.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
299 Passes 461
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC cruised past Sao Paulo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 40% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 60%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 3.52 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mirassol FC and 2.33 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Sao Paulo?

Mirassol FC 3-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 42%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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