Fakel 4-0 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.32/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.12
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2021 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-2 HT 1-2 Fakel Fakel RUS1
21.08.2021 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
14.09.2019 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 2-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
4-0
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel ran out comfortable winners over Rotor Volgograd 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Fakel made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Fakel had 60% of the ball to Rotor Volgograd's 40%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fakel had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fakel and 1.00 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Rotor Volgograd?

Fakel 4-0 Rotor Volgograd in the Russia - FNL on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fakel 40%, draw 30%, Rotor Volgograd 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fakel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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