Chayka 0-1 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Oct 2025

Chayka
0-1 HT 0-1
Ural
📅20/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.3pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.67/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.00
-21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ural
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Chayka Chayka 1-1 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUS1
18.08.2024 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural edged past Chayka 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chayka and 1.50 for Ural.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Ural?

Chayka 0-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chayka 18%, draw 26%, Ural 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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