01/12/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Chayka vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
29%
Draw
27%
44%
Away Win
46%
56%
Under 2.5
57%
44%
Over 2.5
43%
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
55%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chayka v Ural — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chayka
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ural
EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% /
+13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
1.65/1.14
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.72/1.42
+63%
/
+14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+37%
/
-34%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
298 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
Chayka vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chayka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Ural
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
7
0
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Chayka vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chayka and Ural couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Ural at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Chayka vs Ural?
Chayka 1-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chayka vs Ural?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chayka 27%, draw 29%, Ural 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ural), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ural)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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