Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+2.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.65/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.84
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Tyumen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 0-3 HT 0-2 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
11.03.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
09.10.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-0
AWAY Tyumen
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Tyumen 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 69% of the ball to Tyumen's 31%, shots finished 18-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 0.00 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Tyumen?

Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 64%, draw 20%, Tyumen 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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