FK Rodina Moskva 0-3 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.94
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
27.08.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-4 HT 0-2 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
13.05.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-5 HT 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
23.10.2022 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-2 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
0-3
AWAY Neftekhimik
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik swept aside FK Rodina Moskva 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was FK Rodina Moskva at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 66% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 34%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.50 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Neftekhimik?

FK Rodina Moskva 0-3 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 49%, draw 32%, Neftekhimik 19%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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