01/12/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
FC Sochi vs KAMAZ Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
24%
Draw
22%
22%
Away Win
14%
57%
Under 2.5
55%
43%
Over 2.5
45%
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
59%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Sochi v KAMAZ — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Sochi
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
KAMAZ
EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-10%
2.54/0.88
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.45/1.17
+51%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-45%
/
+37%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
3
410 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
222 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.7
Yellow Cards
2.4
FC Sochi vs KAMAZ Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
FC Sochi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
KAMAZ
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
FC Sochi vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Sochi beat KAMAZ 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sochi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of FC Sochi vs KAMAZ?
FC Sochi 2-0 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs KAMAZ?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 54%, draw 24%, KAMAZ 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (FC Sochi)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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