Volga Ulyanovsk 2-0 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 29%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
1.17/3.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.50
-7% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Ufa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-1 HT 2-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
2-0
AWAY FK Ufa
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volga Ulyanovsk got the better of FK Ufa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Volga Ulyanovsk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Volga Ulyanovsk had 51% of the ball to FK Ufa's 49%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Ufa?

Volga Ulyanovsk 2-0 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 45%, draw 26%, FK Ufa 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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